Most Index Stock Floats Are Over 80%

0


Some companies have large shareholders who don’t intend to sell their shares publicly. They include family or founding owners, officers of the company, private equity investors and, sometimes, other public companies.

Mathematically, that reduces the shares available to investors. So that all investors have equal chance of owning all stocks in an index, most modern indexes only include “free-float” adjusted market cap. 

Often, a minimum free float is required to qualify a stock to be added to an index. In fact, most index stocks have floats over 80%. 

We’ve noticed that recent initial public offerings (IPOs) have lower free float compared to historic norms. Today, we look into float trends for recent IPOs, as well as the levels of float typical for major U.S. indexes. 

New IPOs seeing low floats

Data indicates even with some of the largest IPOs we are still seeing companies list with lower floats. 

Sometimes, IPO companies have lock-up periods keeping shares from being available to the market. While the most common lock up period lasts 180 days, sometimes lock ups can be over two years in cases of de-SPACs or for private equity investors. Other companies may only IPO with a small capital raise, leaving founding shareholders owning the majority of shares.

In Chart 1, we compare float and index inclusion by listing year for companies listed in 2023, 2024 and 2025. For companies listed in 2025:

  • 31% have a float lower than 30% of their total shares outstanding (vs. 22% of the companies listed in 2023).
  • Only 29% of the companies have a float share above 80% (vs. 41% of companies listed in 2023).
  • Overall, they have 24% lower median float than companies listed in 2023.
  • And they have low float across all market caps (size of the bubbles).

Using the colors, we can also see the impact of increasing float over time on index inclusion. Only 24% of 2025 listings (vs. 32% of 2024 listings) are in the Russell 3000 Index. 

Chart 1: Float share by year of first trade

Float share by year of first trade

Index inclusion float rules 

In Table 1, we show the minimum free float threshold per index. 

While the minimum free floats are 5% (Russell Indexes) to 15% (MSCI), each index removes additional shares when calculating free float for index eligibility. This means that for an IPO, a company could think putting 15% of their shares up for IPO is enough for fast-track index inclusion. However, an index provider may also count things like the government, employee share plan, large individual investor holdings, and sovereign wealth funds as non-float holders.

Table 1: Minimum free float required by different index inclusion Rules 

Minimum free float required by different index inclusion rules

High float helps index inclusion

If we look at current index members by free float, we see that most U.S. index stocks have over a 90% float (Chart 2). In fact, we see a float of at least 90% in: 

  • 75% of Nasdaq-100® stocks.
  • 89% of S&P 500 stocks.
  • 81% of Russel 1000 stocks.
  • 47% of Russell 2000 stocks. 

Although 65% of the Russell 2000 has 80% or more float. That compares to only 19% of the “other” category stocks — which are stocks not in any of the three major indexes — having over 90% float. 

Chart 2: Most stocks in an index have over 90% float

Most stocks in an index have over 90% float

Low float stocks seem to trade less, too

You might think that a stock with low float might see higher free-float turnover as investors try to buy large positions in a small float company without realizing there are less shares available to trade.

However, the data seems to indicate that lower float doesn’t have any impact on turnover. In other words, there’s no indication that companies with low float trade less than a similar market cap company with high float.

In Chart 3, we show annualized free-float turnover (each stock’s average daily volume, times 252 days, divided by float shares available). This shows us how many times all the float shares in a company would trade in one year. 

Chart 3: Float and turnover don’t appear related 

Float and turnover don’t appear related

Most of the stocks cluster between 80%-100% float and an annualized turnover of 1x–5x. 

Interestingly, almost all of the index constituent stocks (colored circles) fall in this range while non index stocks (grey circles) have a wider turnover range (from 0.1 to over 5000). 

Free float is important for companies that want index investors

Listing with enough free float helps ensure a company will be index eligible, as most indexes require a minimum free-float level. That benefits issuers over the long term as index investors are large and long-term holders of their stock. 

Interestingly, companies with a lower float see less trading than a similar sized company with high float. It seems investors scale their buying and trading activity to free-float shares. That should also mean small buyers don’t have an outsized impact when they buy a low float stock.



Source link