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Economy
3 Factors Most Likely to Influence Markets Next Year
1. The Global Effect of Balancing US Inflation
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve governors for another 25 bp rate cut (0.25%). Usually,…
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Government Shutdown Risk Is New Headache for US Economy
The good news is that the engine of growth for the US economy is the private sector. But the government’s share of isn’t trivial, which…
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Markets Focus on Reflation Risk After Fed Cuts Rates
There are several reasons for adopting a cautious near-term outlook for markets, and reflation risk is arguably at the top of the list.…
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Federal Reserve Board – Federal Reserve Board announces appointment of seven members,…
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Federal Reserve Board – Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action against Lineage…
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What Could Change in 2025?
In our last note, we highlighted that most major economies were ending 2024 in a “Goldilocks” zone – not too hot (inflation…
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Should the Fed Cut Interest Rates Today?
The market is confident that a 25-basis-points reduction in is a done-deal for today’s policy announcement, based on Fed funds futures.…
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Federal Reserve Board – Federal Reserve Board and Federal Open Market Committee release…
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Fed FOMC Preview: Hawkish Powell Poised to Signal Rate Cuts Are Over
The Federal Reserve's December FOMC meeting is set to be a pivotal moment for markets.
While a 25bps rate cut is a foregone conclusion,…
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PMI Data Lifts Some Q4 Nowcasts, but Median Growth Estimate Remains Modest
Several updated nowcasts for US economic activity in the fourth quarter have been revised sharply higher recently, but the median…
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