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Economy
Is the Recession Over Already?
US Economy I: The Godot Recession Is Back
During 2022, 2023, and 2024, most economists and investment strategists expected that the…
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Speech by Governor Cook on productivity dynamics
Good afternoon. Thank you for moderating, Peter. It is an honor to be with…
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Speech by Governor Waller on monetary policy research
Thank you, Volker, and thank you for the opportunity to speak to you…
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Smart Money Vs. Dumb Money: Who’s Getting It Right?
The concepts of “smart money” versus “dumb money” refer to the level of investors’ information and experience. Smart money, typically…
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Speech by Governor Kugler on assessing maximum employment
Thank you, Francine, and thank you to the Central Bank of Iceland for the…
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Speech by Governor Barr on artificial intelligence and the labor market
Thank you for the opportunity to speak to you today.1 In my remarks, I…
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Market Is Tepid Over China Developments: 3 Takeaways
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has said that he will meet with Chinese officials in Switzerland to begin trade talks with China.
A…
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How to Navigate Required Minimum Distributions and Minimize Taxes in Retirement
Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs) are an unavoidable part of retirement planning for many Americans. While they are designed to…
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Rebound for Initial US Q2 GDP Nowcast Could Be Misleading
Preliminary estimates for the US economic activity in the second quarter point to a recovery following a mild decline for in the first…
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How Monthly and Quarterly PCE Price Measures Track Inflation Differently
An email from a reader of ours led with the title “PCE is quite confusing.” He asked if we would explain the difference between the…
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