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Economy
Record Consumer Spending Keeps US Economy on a Growth Path
has been relatively depressed for the past couple of years according to the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) and Consumer Sentiment Index…
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Economy on Track to Post Strong Growth in Q3, Defying Slowdown Fears
The odds continue to look favorable that the US will dodge an NBER-defined recession through the end of the third quarter. Q4 still looks…
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Speech by Governor Kugler on the economic outlook
Thank you, John, and thank you for the opportunity to speak here today.1…
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Stocks May Stall If Liquidity Issues Continue to Persist
I reviewed the spread on the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:) yesterday. The white bars represent yesterday’s data, and the comparison…
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What Happens After a 50bps Cut? Here’s What History Suggests for Sectors and Risks
Last week, the Federal Reserve made a significant move by cutting its overnight lending rate by 50 basis points. This marks the first…
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Speech by Governor Bowman on monetary policy and the economic outlook
Good morning. I would like to thank the Kentucky Bankers Association for…
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7 Key Insights as Markets Digest Fed’s Risk Management Rate Cut
Interest rates cut by 50 basis points for the first time since 2020
Two further rate cuts are planned between now and the end of 2024
A…
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Navigating the Energy Transition and Power Grid Complexity
The first energy transition can be traced back to the 18th Century, when we started moving from wood to coal. Now, in 2024,…
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What Yield Curve Normalization Means for Gold, Stocks and the Economy
The media pounded and pounded the yield curve’s inversion as a signal about an imminent economic recession. We have noted again and again…
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China Is Imploding – And That Should Matter Just as Much as the Fed’s Pivot
The news of the week is NOT the Fed cutting 50 bps - yes sure, that’s important but there is something much more relevant going on.
The…
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