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Economy
Federal Reserve Board – Minutes of the Board’s discount rate meetings on January 21 and…
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Inflation Expectations Becoming Unanchored Again Ahead of All-Important PCE Report
Economic data activity will pick up again this week, culminating in the report on Friday. Additionally, NVIDIA’s (NASDAQ:) midweek…
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Margin Balances Suggest Risks Are Building
Last week, we discussed that continued bullish exuberance and high levels of complacency can quickly turn into volatility. As we noted…
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Tariffs May Pose Greater Threat to Corporate Profitability Than Inflation
For Part 1 on “Tariff Risk” read: Tariff Impact Not As Bearish As Predicted.
In “Trumpflation” we discussed why the tariff risk was not…
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Does Economic Growth Cause Inflation? Well, Not So Fast
I am constantly amazed at certain articles of faith among the economics community. In my line of expertise, one of the most amazing to me…
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Trade Matters Less to US Than to Other Economies
Despite multiple tariff announcements, only extra 10% on China has gone into effectWe’re a month into President Trump’s…
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Is Retail Exuberance Setting Market Up for a Correction?
Last week, we discussed the surge in retail exuberance in the market following the election of President Trump.
“The market defies more…
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Why NBBO Economics Have Become Distorted
We recently studied how trades speed around the marketplace — typically starting from a broker order in Secaucus, traveling…
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Speech by Vice Chair Jefferson on central bank communication
Thank you, President Daly, for organizing this conference and for the…
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The Stability-Instability Paradox: Bullish Sentiment Meets a Fragile Market Setup
Market Shakes Off Inflation DataI am back from traveling, and we have a good bit to catch up on since our last report. If you missed it,…
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